Page 37 - European Energy Innovation - summer 2019 publication

Summer 2019 European Energy Innovation 37

WIND POTENTIALS FOR EU

Estimated EU wind capacity in 2050 in a carbon neutral scenario and challenges derived from wind potentials

terms of capacity still to be built the floating technologies that today is scenarios, together with imbalances
top three is: France (+168GW), the UK still significantly more expensive than between energy intensity and
(+ 78GW) and Spain (+57GW). Even fixed-bottom technology. wind potential, may become very
in a hypothetical scenario with low challenging for some countries. The
setback distances - 400m - three We conclude that on the one hand, long term deployment of wind in
countries will need more than 50% the potential of wind is very high: the EU will depend on competing
of their wind potential: Belgium, the equivalent to 3 times EU’s electricity land uses with mainly agriculture,
Netherlands and Slovakia. These demand. On the other hand, the competing interests in sea areas and
countries may face high levels significant increase in low carbon on the innovation in offshore fixed-
of land competition or increase power production in carbon neutral bottom and floating technologies. l
their dependence on neighbouring
countries. All other countries use less JRC developed ENSPRESO, ENergy Systems Potential Renewable Energy
than 30% of their potential. SOurces, an EU-28 wide, open dataset for energy models on renewable
energy potentials, at national and NUTS2 levels. ENSPRESO can impact
For wind offshore, most of the the results of any energy model by improving its analyses of the
required capacity is still to be built. competition and complementarity of energy technologies. Specifically
The three countries with the highest for wind, the output with the highest relevance for policy making is the
capacity are the UK, Germany and dataset with an estimation of power production under three different
the Netherlands. Five countries restrictions scenarios. ENSPRESO is accessible from the JRC data portal
will have a substantial capacity in https://data.jrc.ec.europa.eu/.
deeper waters, now also including
France and Spain. This would require

[1] Telsnig T, Vazquez Hernandez C, Technology Market Report - Wind Energy, European Com-mission, 2018, JRC116294
[2] A Clean Planet for all - A European long-term strategic vision for a prosperous, modern, competitive and climate neutral economy, European Commission,
2018, November
[3] JRC (2018), Wind potentials for EU and neighbouring countries, http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/bitstream/JRC109698/kjna29083enn_1.pdf
[4] Deployment Scenarios for Low Carbon Energy Technologies, Joint Research Centre, 2019, January.

www.europeanenergyinnovation.eu